What Does 50% Chance of Rain Actually Mean?
Confused by your weather app's forecast? Here's the truth about those rain percentages—and why understanding them could change your plans (and your socks).
By Rodger Mansfield, Technology Editor
July 8, 2025
Or risked a morning walk and got drenched under that same 50% forecast?
If so, you're not alone. That single, slippery percentage confuses millions every day.
It's one of the most misunderstood figures in modern weather forecasting.
Here's a Cool Tip: Once you know what it really means, you’ll never look at a rain forecast the same way again.


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